Nitromater
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Do-or-Dunn line
- Thread starter yoda
- Start date
Joker
Nitro Member
Dixon is done. The level of competition in top fuel isint what it is in funny car. In FC 1st rd isint a given. In TF, it pretty much is for the top teams. ANd with the quality of the teams in front of him, I would say he only has about a 5% chance of winning it and that might be putting it too high imo. Not to mention, he hasnt really done that much this year.
Even if Dixon wins ... odds are that he is likely to face one of the 3 cars already in front of him (Worsham, Brown, Massey). So making up big chunks of points is not really likely, if not almost improbable when your competition is going to a final or at least a semi final. 108 points is a huge mountain to overcome in 3 races when you are talking about the quality of car in front of him. Mathematically, yes its possible but the Do or Dunn line is a more practical view IMHO.
I think the line is bogus, it's not like making the countdown equations, it's just his opinion and I say it's wrong. Tim Wilkerson is do DUNN he could win the last 3 and win the title is it a long shot yes, but you get my point. The line had guys below that were only 120 out? Are you kidding me? It's so pointless and to even have Larry Dixon out of it or on the bubble is crazy. Do you hear yourself's? We have 3 races left, This is LARRY DIXON we are talking about, very very easily they could be far ahead of all the DSR teams.
Buns
Nitro Member
Agreed.
Just Paul
Nitro Member
1 Spencer Massey 2390 (6 rounds back)
2 Antron Brown 2325 (3 rounds back)
3 Del Worsham 2316 (2 rounds back)
4 Larry Dixon 2282
12 Rounds left not counting qualifying points, and possible (not likely) national record.
If anybody can do it, AJ can, but he'll need some help from the other teams.
I don't blame Dunn for putting his mark where he did.
2 Antron Brown 2325 (3 rounds back)
3 Del Worsham 2316 (2 rounds back)
4 Larry Dixon 2282
12 Rounds left not counting qualifying points, and possible (not likely) national record.
If anybody can do it, AJ can, but he'll need some help from the other teams.
I don't blame Dunn for putting his mark where he did.
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I may regret this but ...
Patrick look at it this way (I'll use your Wilkerson example). Wilk is 181 points behind Hagan. In 3 races there is a total of 300 points available (not including Nat'l records or qualifying bonuses). Reality is that Wilkerson would have to earn 182 more points than Hagan if Hagan doesn't earn another point from today on. So, that means for every round Hagan wins ... Wilk has to win 2 rounds just gain 20 points. Can Wilk win all 3 remaining races? Sure, he's done that before. But that alone won't put him in the lead.
Mike Dunn is not discrediting those drivers below the line but anything over 100 points is really impossible unless all the teams in front of them fell completely off the face of the earth. Trust me ... Hagan, Neff, Cruz, and Beckman in FC and Massey, Brown and Worsham in TF will all earn some more points and some combination of them will go rounds on Sunday. That just makes it that much more difficult to overcome a triple digit deficit. Mathematically done, NO ... theoretically, YES.
BTW ... you do not still want to give GA a chance in PS Car do you? Since both those cars will always be around late on race day, can we agree that Jason Line is the 2011 PS Champ?
Pro stock yes, it's a closed door. I wanted Enders....HA yeah right. I'll look at the points right now and where I would put my line.
Pro Stock Bike...My line is the top 8. I know Dunn's is not like that and that's absurb. But only Hector I feel is on the put up results or your done line.
Pro Stock...My line is at # 2. GA is the only guy in it with a shot because of his combo. He could only win it if jason is late and loses first round all 3 races and greg wins. Really I say just give it to Jason already.
Funny Car...I dare to say no one is out. There is no line. No one has a clear advantage in that class. Yes say Hagen, but like so many times come sunday his car is ???????????, If Hagen keeps winner yes Tim's out but I certainly do not see how tim can't win right now.
Top Fuel...oh boy....my win or forget about it line is at Doug Kalitta. Yea It's unlikely but there's not out of it yet. Doug winnin the next race if the heavy hitters go home will add another contender. My line is the top 6 are in but Bernstein and Kalitta if they dont make up ground this weekend i'm taking them both out of it if not at least one of them.
These scenarios can happen it's just that y is dependent on x and x is heavy hitter not finding round 2
Buns
Nitro Member
Those scenarios are theoretically possible but if the Al-Anabi and DSR cars all falter to the point that Kalitta or Bernstein could win it, it would be one of the biggest stories in drag racing history. I wouldn't even know what to say.
Suffice to say, it's those cars' championship to lose.
Suffice to say, it's those cars' championship to lose.
Exactly but it's a shame that Kalitta and Bernstein are not part of the I can go 3.70 with ease group. Bernstein could be in the top 5. They joined the low 3.80's consistantcy club way to late. Next year Vandergriff will be in it. Unless McMillen could run better than his occasional 3.85 it's not gonna cut it.
