Houston a few weeks ago was the archetypal example of this. 20% chance of rain on Saturday and we got 5 inches and no racing. 40% chance of rain Sunday and not a cloud in the sky.
I am only about 6 hours up I-75 from Commerce ... I am thinking about going. Weather report on Thursday will play a factor, but ultimately it will boil down to if I feel like driving 12 hours round trip in 2 days, cuz I gotta be back Sunday early for Mother's Day. Eliminations on Saturday was a genius move by NHRA to tempt me ...